Cotton output survey: Total output in 2016 is forecast to be 4.877 million tons

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For a comprehensive understanding2016Cotton production situation, the National Cotton Market Monitoring System10month15to30A nationwide cotton production survey was launched on May 1, with samples involving15Provinces (autonomous regions), 74Zhimian County (city, group farm), 3700 Contact households with designated cotton planting information. Survey results show that China’s 2016 Average cotton yield111.2kg/mu, a year-on-year increase 9.2% , compared to 8Month survey results fell0.8 percentage points; calculated based on China’s actual cotton sowing area4384.510,000 acres, Estimated total output487.7 million tons, a year-on-year decrease6.5%, compared to8Month forecast decline0.8percentage points. The specific situation is as follows:

This year, the temperature and humidity in the Yellow River Basin are suitable, the soil moisture is good, and indicators such as cotton lint and length are better than the same period last year. The average yield in this region is 79.3kg/mu, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1% b>, a decrease of 3.7percentage points compared with 8 survey results; total output is expected66 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 26.2%, compared with 8 The monthly forecast fellby 3.7percentage points.

This year’s flood season in the Yangtze River Basin has seen heavy rainfall, which has delayed cotton development. Although the weather will improve later, which is conducive to cotton’s restorative growth, it will have a greater impact on cotton yields. The average cotton yield in the region is60.1kg/mu, a year-on-year decrease of13.4%, a decrease of12.2percentage points compared with8month’s survey results; total output is expected b>34.5 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 37.4% from 8The monthly forecast fellby 12.2percentage points.

The average yield of cotton in the northwest inland area131.2kg/mu, A year-on-year increase of 11%, an increase of 0.90.9 compared to the survey results in August >percentage points; the total output is expected to be 3.841 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, compared with b>Augustmonth is forecast to increase0.9 percentage points. Although some areas of Xinjiang have been hit by hail since the end ofAugustand local cooling and snowfall brought by cold air afterOctober It is unfavorable for cotton growth and picking, but the weather conditions are generally better than normal years and have little impact on cotton growth. The pattern of good cotton growth in Xinjiang has not changed. It is expected that Xinjiang2016 The average yield per unit area131.3kg/mu, a year-on-year increase of 10.9% , the total output is expected to be 3.814 tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, both August is forecast to increase by 0.8 percentage points.